The Conway UFC 240 Predictions
By Alex Conway
The UFC has its second pay-per-view this month as it heads to Edmonton with a featherweight title fight headliner between champion Max Holloway and challenger Frankie Edgar, and a women’s featherweight co-main event between Cris Cyborg and Felicia Spencer.
The rest of the card lacks names, but there are some intriguing matchups, nonetheless.
Holloway vs. Edgar
I was listening to The Luke Thomas Show on Sirius XM and the host Luke Thomas made an interesting observation about how long it would be between title reigns if Frankie Edgar defeats Max Holloway this weekend.
Edgar lost his lightweight crown in 2012 and in addition to becoming a two-division champ if he wins Saturday, he would also gain the record for most years in-between title victories.
I don’t see him getting the job done though.
Edgar has an incredible pace and work rate on the feet, combined with solid knee taps that get his opponents to the ground off his quick boxing combinations, but Holloway has pretty good takedown defense, a mastery of distance, and a pace that can match Edgar’s.
Holloway is coming off his first loss since 2013, but he that was a weight class up and he is still the king at 145 pounds.
In imagining how this fight will play out, the part that has me most perplexed is which fighter will take the center of the cage. Both fighters love circling on the outside and darting in and out at their opponents.
I think Edgar will adopt the outside, but Holloway is the more diverse striker and I think he gets it done over five rounds, in a not-so-close affair.
Cyborg vs. Spencer
Felicia Spencer is the last Invicta featherweight champion and she made her UFC debut in May by taking out the women Megan Anderderson, the Invicta featherweight champion before Spencer.
The Invicta featherweight champion before both Spencer and Anderson? Well that would be Spencer’s opponent in the co-main event of UFC 240, Cris Cyborg.
Cyborg is coming off her first loss in over a decade, but I don’t see it becoming a losing streak.
Spencer is a highly capable grappler and a little bit of a powerhouse in that department compared to most of her contemporaries, but hardly anybody is a match for the brute force that Cyborg brings to the cage.
Cyborg is better in every area. She’s better on the feet, the clinch, on the ground, submissions and ground and pound. She’s more skilled, faster, stronger and hits harder.
I don’t think getting knocked out by Amanda Nunes is a sign Cyborg’s chin is going either and I don’t believe Spencer is the woman that could help us confirm it one way or another.
I don’t predict this fight will go long, and Cyborg will get a quick TKO finish of Spencer inside one round.
Neal vs. Price
Geoff Neal versus Niko Price is an absolute barn burner of a fight and is treat for the hardcore fans.
Neal is a Dana White Tuesday Night Contender Series veteran and is known as for being a waiter when he isn’t fighting in a cage.
Price is a fighter who has never seen a judge’s scorecard in eight UFC appearances and coming off a knockout win over veteran Tim Means.
Whoever gets a win here will probably do it in spectacular fashion and get a big push from the UFC and your guess as to who is going to have their hand raised is as good as mine.
What I will say is this fight could go anywhere.
I’m going to pick Price, simply because he has more experience, but don’t go placing a bet based on my advice.
Aubin-Mercier vs. Tsarukyan
Olivier Aubin-Mercier likes to get himself into ugly fights. He enjoys fighting in close quarters and in the clinch. I don’t that will work out well for him against Arman Tsarukyan.
If you recall Tsarukyan’s fight against Islam Makhachev, you’ll recall a bunch of foot sweeps and excellent trips in the clinch. He was outgunned against Makhachev but I think any close encounters with Aubin-Mercier will end in Tsarukyan’s favor.
I don’t think Aubin-Mercier will have much for him on the feet, and thus the fight will take place on Tsarukyan’s terms.
I see this fight going to the scorecards and Tsarukyan getting his first UFC win.
Jotko vs. Andre Barriault
Marc-Andre Barriault will have the country of Canada behind him when he fights Krzysztof Jotko, but Jotko will have the grappling advantage.
Jotko had an excellent performance on the ground when he fought Alen Amedovski in Russia earlier this year, and that’s his path to victory here.
This is a decent way to start off the card, but I’m going Jotko here.